The Resource Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor, (electronic resource)

Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor, (electronic resource)

Label
Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics
Title
Blindside
Title remainder
how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics
Statement of responsibility
Francis Fukuyama, editor
Contributor
Subject
Genre
Language
  • eng
  • eng
Summary
"Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors"--Provided by publisher
Cataloging source
MiAaPQ
Dewey number
363.34/7
Index
index present
Language note
English
LC call number
HV551.3
LC item number
.B57 2007
Literary form
non fiction
Nature of contents
  • dictionaries
  • bibliography
http://library.link/vocab/relatedWorkOrContributorName
Fukuyama, Francis
http://library.link/vocab/subjectName
  • Emergency management
  • International relations
Label
Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor, (electronic resource)
Instantiates
Publication
Note
"An American Interest Book."
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references (p. [173]-182) and index
Carrier category
online resource
Carrier category code
cr
Content category
text
Content type code
txt
Contents
The challenges of uncertainty: an introduction / Francis Fukuyama -- Thinking about catastrophe / Richard A. Posner -- Cases: looking back -- Slow surprise: the dynamics of technology synergy / David Landes -- U.S. intelligence estimates of Soviet collapse: reality and perception / Bruce Berkowitz -- Econoshocks: the East Asian crisis case / David Hale -- Cases: looking ahead -- The once and future DARPA / William Bonvillian -- Fueled again? In search of energy security / Gal Luft and Anne Korin -- Emerging infectious diseases: are we prepared? / Scott Barrett -- Forecasting -- Ahead of the curve: anticipating strategic surprise / Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall -- Can scenarios help policymakers be both bold and careful? / Robert Lempert -- Innovation and adaptation: IT examples / Mitchell Waldrop -- What could be -- Cassandra vs. Pollyanna : a debate between James Kurth and Gregg Easterbrook -- Global discontinuities : a discussion with Owen Harries, Itamar Rabinovich, Niall Ferguson, and Scott Barrett -- American scenarios -- A discussion with Walter Russell Mead, Eliot Cohen, Anne Applebaum, Ruth Wedgwood, Bernard-Henry Levy, Peter Schwartz, Josef Joffe, and Francis Fukuyama -- Afterword / Francis Fukuyama -- Contributors -- Index
Dimensions
unknown
Extent
1 online resource (208 p.)
Form of item
online
Isbn
9780815729891
Media category
computer
Media type code
c
Specific material designation
remote
System control number
  • (CKB)1000000000347452
  • (EBL)3004460
  • (OCoLC)173812431
  • (SSID)ssj0000113175
  • (PQKBManifestationID)11133755
  • (PQKBTitleCode)TC0000113175
  • (PQKBWorkID)10098179
  • (PQKB)11676984
  • (MiAaPQ)EBC3004460
  • (MdBmJHUP)muse35320
  • (EXLCZ)991000000000347452
Label
Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics, Francis Fukuyama, editor, (electronic resource)
Publication
Note
"An American Interest Book."
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references (p. [173]-182) and index
Carrier category
online resource
Carrier category code
cr
Content category
text
Content type code
txt
Contents
The challenges of uncertainty: an introduction / Francis Fukuyama -- Thinking about catastrophe / Richard A. Posner -- Cases: looking back -- Slow surprise: the dynamics of technology synergy / David Landes -- U.S. intelligence estimates of Soviet collapse: reality and perception / Bruce Berkowitz -- Econoshocks: the East Asian crisis case / David Hale -- Cases: looking ahead -- The once and future DARPA / William Bonvillian -- Fueled again? In search of energy security / Gal Luft and Anne Korin -- Emerging infectious diseases: are we prepared? / Scott Barrett -- Forecasting -- Ahead of the curve: anticipating strategic surprise / Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall -- Can scenarios help policymakers be both bold and careful? / Robert Lempert -- Innovation and adaptation: IT examples / Mitchell Waldrop -- What could be -- Cassandra vs. Pollyanna : a debate between James Kurth and Gregg Easterbrook -- Global discontinuities : a discussion with Owen Harries, Itamar Rabinovich, Niall Ferguson, and Scott Barrett -- American scenarios -- A discussion with Walter Russell Mead, Eliot Cohen, Anne Applebaum, Ruth Wedgwood, Bernard-Henry Levy, Peter Schwartz, Josef Joffe, and Francis Fukuyama -- Afterword / Francis Fukuyama -- Contributors -- Index
Dimensions
unknown
Extent
1 online resource (208 p.)
Form of item
online
Isbn
9780815729891
Media category
computer
Media type code
c
Specific material designation
remote
System control number
  • (CKB)1000000000347452
  • (EBL)3004460
  • (OCoLC)173812431
  • (SSID)ssj0000113175
  • (PQKBManifestationID)11133755
  • (PQKBTitleCode)TC0000113175
  • (PQKBWorkID)10098179
  • (PQKB)11676984
  • (MiAaPQ)EBC3004460
  • (MdBmJHUP)muse35320
  • (EXLCZ)991000000000347452

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